August 03, 2009
Cash for Clunkers law appears to be working
By: Bob Ulrich
Like it or not, the so-called “Cash for Clunkers” program appears to be working. Some 250,000 cars have been sold in direct response to the plan President Obama hoped would jump start car sales.
However, the $1 billion the government earmarked for the program, officially named the CARS Allowance Rebate System (CARS), has been used up, prompting the current administration and Congress to find $2 billion more to keep CARS going. They will.
The week-old program spent $1 billion. If that trend continues, another 500,000 cars will be sold in the next two weeks. Then the program will be over.
Is 750,000 vehicles sold -- a 30% increase in average sales per week compared to last year -- enough to classify the program as a true success? Time will tell if the specific goal of getting people to buy more cars leads to the ultimate goal of strengthening our economy.
If the domino effect is positive, then I think the positives will outweigh the negatives. According to the Automotive Aftermarket Industry Association (AAIA), there are a number of problems with the law:
* “By taking vehicles off the road that might be sold as used, the program will raise the price for all used vehicles, thus impacting those on limited income that cannot afford new vehicles.”
* “Since the parts on those vehicles that are scrapped could be sold as used or reconditioned, the program will cause an increase in repair prices for consumers.”
As for the environmental impact, Aaron Lowe, vice president of government affairs for the AAIA, says there is a flaw in the law. Yes, replacing older cars with new, more fuel efficient vehicles will reduce emissions and save oil.
However, the scrapped vehicles “will more than likely be sent to landfills, creating more pollution, not less.” (The CARS program requires the scrapping of a vehicle owner’s eligible trade-in vehicle.)
As is the case with anything the government touches, there is plenty of red tape, which has led to both frustration and confusion for auto dealers and consumers alike. To fully understand the Cash for Clunkers program, a dealer has to read through 136 pages of legalese. One slip up in the rules and the government can deny the $4,500.
Still, using the average vehicle cost as a guide, the CARS program will bring between $15 million and $18 million into an industry desperately in need of help. I know companies like Hyundai Motor America , Nissan North America Inc., American Honda Motor Co. Inc., Toyota Motor Sales U.S.A. Inc. and General Motors Corp. (specifically Pontiac) have been advertising heavily in Northeast Ohio.
We may never know if stimulating the economy artificially with the Cash for Clunkers program was necessary, but bottom-line success will be good enough for me.
For more information on the program, visit www.cars.gov.
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