USTMA Scales Back Shipment Forecast

The U.S. Tire Manufacturers Association expects replacement channel shipments to increase in the passenger, light truck and medium truck tire segments.
Aug. 7, 2025

The U.S. Tire Manufacturers Association (USTMA) has scaled back slightly its projection for U.S. tire shipments in 2025.

The new forecast, issued Aug. 7, calls for 340.2 million units, down from the 340.4 million units in its March 2025 forecast.

The USTMA predicts an across-the-board decrease in original equipment tire shipments across three categories — passenger, light truck and medium truck — when compared to 2024 USTMA figures. And this new forecast shows less optimism for OE units across the board, when compared to the March figures.

The group is expecting the growth for the year to come from the replacement tire side of things, with the strongest gain expected in replacement truck tires. In all three replacement categories, the USTMA increased its projections.

Here’s a look at the USTMA figures. Note, the numbers represent millions of tires. Figures are rounded.

 

2025 Forecast

2024 Total

Percent Change

Original Equipment

     

Passenger

42.3

43.1

-2.0%

Light Truck

6.6

6.7

-0.1%

Truck

5.2

5.7

-0.5%

       

Replacement

     

Passenger

224.2

221.6

2.6%

Light Truck

37.7

36.7

0.9%

Truck

24.3

23.4

0.9%

       

Total Shipments

340.2

337.3

0.9%

 

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